The world's major conflict zones — what's happening, who's involved, and what comes next.
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Critical
Elevated
HIGHLANDS — DAWN
The 2020-22 Tigray War ended with the Pretoria Agreement, but Ethiopia's stability remains precarious. Implementation has stalled, and a new insurgency in the Amhara region — led by the Fano militia — has now become the country's primary security challenge. Eritrea's continued involvement and Prime Minister Abiy's contested legitimacy add further volatility.
Parties Involved
🇪🇹 Ethiopian Federal GovtTPLF (Tigray)Amhara Fano🇪🇷 Eritrea
What Happens Next
LikelyTigray ceasefire holds. Amhara becomes the new primary front as Fano insurgency intensifies.
RiskTigray ceasefire collapses — war resumes, triggering a wider federal dissolution crisis.